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Title: Population/Immigration Speech

lukas

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Messages: 46
Registration date: 30/06/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 15:33
Overall I thought this was a good speech and it was a good way to approach the subject suggesting that whatever happens we ought to at least have a plan for population. I expect to see Labour appropriate the ideas, slightly modified of course, in the coming days/weeks.

However, there was one part of the speech I was uncomfortable with. I wonder if others feel the same way?

It was the bit about the "atomisation" of society.

I guess it was supposed to sit on the back of the "family values" thing David has going (and which many of us also are unclear about because we don't really understand what he means by a 'family' - and others of us feel uncomfortable about because we don't like the government dictating to us how we should live).

In the speech David made the following remarks:

Quote:
At the same time we are seeing another significant demographic change: the growth in household formation, partly caused by the increasing atomisation of our society.

These trends will put pressure on our national infrastructure - particularly in key areas like housing, public services and transport - and on resources like water and energy.

....

But the atomisation of society - particularly family breakdown - is creating additional pressures.

....

While this rise in the number of people living on their own is partly the entirely natural consequence of people living longer, we cannot ignore the fact that it also reflects an increasing atomisation of our society, a trend that I believe we need to address rather than sweep under the carpet.

....

Our current level of population growth and atomisation is unsustainable.


Now, while I can see that in order to reduce the housing shortage encouraging EXISTING families to stay together makes sense (though it may not always be the best thing for individual families depending on the circumstances), there seems to be a sense here of suggesting that EVERYONE should live in a nuclear family - and this is what makes me feel uncomfortable. Am I imagining this?

I (and I suspect quite a few others here) don't think that government should dictate to people how they should live. David says atomisation needs to be addressed - and this is true. However, I think it should be addressed by arranging resources to be sufficient for our needs - not by trying to force people into some 1950s model of what a family should be (if done this would be doomed to fail anyway as people have rightly or wrongly moved on since then).

A more rational approach would be to cut immigration to ensure that resources are sufficient to support both that immigration allowed and the atomisation effect.

I think that David is arguing that single households are inefficient. That is true. But even if you take the inefficiencies into account I bet that a single household still takes up far less energy then a family even with it's lack of economies of scale.

Also I don't think individuals are an issue with regard to the housing shortage simply because few individuals can afford to own their own property anyway. Those who can - well you can't get rid of single people altogether so I don't think it's realistic to suggest we can somehow...

Anyone have any comments of their own to add? Have I misunderstood what David means?

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 16:07
I think DC makes a mistake in inventing this phrase "atomisation of society" with the implication that it has something to do with "family breakdown". It is more about the desire for independence and more choice in how to lead one's life. The consequent pressure on housing should not have taken anyone by surprise. What is surprising is the politicians' failure to plan for it, and their failure to prevent further pressure on housing and infrastructure from unrestrained immigration.

One really does despair and wonder where they were when braincells were dished out.

DC, I understand, still wants positive net immigration, which I for one don't agree with. We already have too many here and we should aim for zero or negative net immigration for a period and, of course, focus on skill needs and train our own people - we owe it to them.

Nick Clegg gets off to a bad start and blots his copybook with daft remarks like: "Does David Cameron have a magic number in mind or does he seriously think that immigration can be turned on and off like a tap?" Grow up Clegg! Of course it can.

Last edited by: yorker on 29/10/2007 16:09
Tizzy

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Messages: 1338
Registration date: 30/11/2006
Added: 29/10/2007 16:26
Ive just found a 2005 BBC report that suggests 1 in 4 adult children stay with their parents. Source 2005 The main reason cited is the 'kippers' can't or won't afford rent or mortgage payments.

Quote:
A survey for BBC2's Money Programme found that debts and high property prices often force offspring to live at home into their twenties and thirties.


Elsewhere, it has also been suggested they life is cushy at home, so why move?! Source 2007 However, they also comment:

Code:
Research has shown that 6.8 million over-18s still live with their parents - and almost a million adults are still at home when they are approaching 40.

tonymakara

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Messages: 1393
Registration date: 28/06/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 16:36
I think David Cameron is right to use the 'Atomisation' analogy. Society is breaking down and has been breaking down for the last decade at an alarming rate. We have to ask why this is happening? Compare our nation to what it was fifty years ago? Now try to imagine what our country will be like fifty years from now? There is decline.

Nontheless David Cameron reminds us that we don't have to just let things slide, there is an alternative. People can mock the concept of family but there is no doubt that a correlation exists between the breakdown in family life and social breakdown. At one time we had the extended family, that became the nuclear family, now we have reached the stage where single parent families are becoming ever more dominant, all the time the family is shrinking, breaking apart, that is the problem.

Last edited by: tonymakara on 29/10/2007 16:36
yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 16:59
Are we saying that families are OK and un-atomised if the 'kippers' are still living at home into their thirties?

40 to 50 years ago they were leaving school at 16 or 18 and going straight to work and earning enough to get married and buy/rent their own home. Now that it's the fashion to be a perpetual student, delay becoming economically productive and sponge of parents' good nature indefinitely, the stresses are beginning to show. Not surprising really.

lukas

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Messages: 46
Registration date: 30/06/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 17:22
Tony, what do you put the breakdown of the family down to? Also if the family is such a great thing why do we have such high levels of divorce? Not trying to be anti-family - just wanting to know your thinking on the reasons behind the breakdown as you see it and why you think it may be reversible by using tax incentives?

As regard atomisation - I kind of agree with both you and Yorker (if you see what I mean). It's right to think about it and plan for it - but I'm not sure it's right to present it along the lines of if you choose to be single you are to be penalized. I'm not talking about single parent families because the word atomisation and the way David used it tends to imply anybody who choses to be a loner - not just single parent families.

Tizzy, I agree with those stats. I left home far later then I wanted to (when I was 29) for financial reasons too. That was some time ago - now it must be nearly impossible for single people to go it alone unless they rent somewhere maybe. If you rent you are destined to be stuck in a money trap as in the UK rent is expensive and will keep you poor and without assets. So I think such single people must be a tiny percentage of home owners and not a big problem - which brings us back to who is David really talking about when says 'atomisation'.

ADDED:

I just re-read David's quotes again it seems like he's talking about broken families. But it does kind of imply everyone must be in a family - which is tough on those who don't want to have a family and enjoy their own company. So are we being told you either have to have a family or you have to remain living with your parents? Seems a bit dictatorial of lifestyle to me.

Last edited by: lukas on 29/10/2007 17:35
yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 17:39
Well, as women became more liberated and career minded it was obvious that they would want to remain single for at least a while or, if they married, it was a miracle if both partners developed harmoniously in parallel and after 20 years still shared to same aims and outlook on life. Once the kids leave school why not strike out independently? That's not remotely a family breakdown.

Tizzy

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Messages: 1338
Registration date: 30/11/2006
Added: 29/10/2007 17:42
Quote:
Are we saying that families are OK and un-atomised if the 'kippers' are still living at home into their thirties?


I would say that would be a fair assumption. Is 'atomisation' just a play on words viz 'nuclear' family?

Glynne

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Messages: 669
Registration date: 25/10/2006
Added: 29/10/2007 18:12
Quote:
But the atomisation of society - particularly family breakdown - is creating additional pressures.


Atomise

Quote:
To reduce to or separate into atoms.
To reduce to tiny particles or a fine spray.
To break into small fragments.


I agree with DC - society is breaking down from self supporting groups into individuals.

Constraints imposed by the group no longer apply.
Support in time of need, is no longer from the group, but is expected to be delivered by government.
Offspring with no control or group role models, rapidly become feral.

Add to this the reluctance of the police to involve themselves in social disturbance - we can see how we have ended up here.

If you want to know where here is - walk down a dark street late at night in Manchester - Birmingham - Bristol or any UK City.

Votedave

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Messages: 925
Registration date: 30/09/2006
Added: 29/10/2007 19:02
Labour's Liam Byrne said of David Cameron (and Nick Clegg has similar thoughts)

Quote:
"He talks of a limit on immigration numbers, but nowhere does he say what this would be."


This is ridiculous. Clearly Labour and the LibDems don't think it's necessary to think things through properly over time or have a debate, or have discussions with businesses before announcing specific numbers. David Cameron should ignore these feeble attacks from his opponents.

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 19:33
I don't follow... why shouldn't DC's opponents ask him to quantify?

lukas

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Messages: 46
Registration date: 30/06/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 19:40
Glynne:

Quote:
I agree with DC - society is breaking down from self supporting groups into individuals.


I don't think anyone disputes this. Neither do they say that it shouldn't be taken into consideration when planning population growth and resource allocation. The questions are more:

a) Is it prohibited or frowned on to function as a loner according to DC - i.e. can you leave home and choose NOT to have a family but to live on your own as a bachelor (female or male).

b) Is the nuclear family (which is suggested as the remedy through implication) really going to work when people choose to no longer live that way? Can you really force people to live that way if they don't want to and should that be something government gets involved in?

Votedave:

I think what the other parties - or at least Labour - are really saying is "Could you please give us some numbers so we can take your policy, change it a tiny bit and call it our own without having to do our own research".

lukas

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Messages: 46
Registration date: 30/06/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 19:43
Yorker:

Quote:
I don't follow... why shouldn't DC's opponents ask him to quantify?


...because he may not have sensible figures yet. As I interpret the speech it was mainly just saying it would be good to have a plan. If that's the sentiment it's getting across then it's far too early to be getting into specific numbers. I think the other parties are trying to pin him down on it because there's not a lot else to disagree about in the speech (apart from 'atomisation' which no major party would want to get involved in for fear of being called anti-family).

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 20:18
None of this is going to make the slightest sense until a political leader finally summons up the bottle to tell the EU that its crazy free transfer from one country to another is CANCELLED, at least as far as the UK is concerned.

Votedave

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Messages: 925
Registration date: 30/09/2006
Added: 29/10/2007 20:37
Yorker, I repeat;

Quote:
Clearly Labour and the LibDems don't think it's necessary to think things through properly over time, or have a debate, or have discussions with businesses before announcing specific numbers.


You don't just click your fingers and come up with a number. A bit of research and investigation is needed first, as always. It's fundamentals first, specifics later. DC's critics all too often seem not to appreciate this basic fact.

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 29/10/2007 22:07
Ah, but I thought that's what Cameron's policy groups has been doing these past months/years - research. You don't need to debate the problem to quantify it. And I'd have thought the Conservatives had permanent ongoing links to business.

Votedave

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Messages: 925
Registration date: 30/09/2006
Added: 30/10/2007 16:45
But it could be nearly three years before the next general election, yorker. I would have thought the business of quantifying these matters would have been more appropriate when we get an election announcement.
Only goodness knows what the situation will be like by then, a lot worse than now I'm sure.

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 30/10/2007 17:14
Well, far be it from me to tell the Tory Party how to do research, but on key issues such as this it's necessary to have an ongoing programme so that you can demolish the government at every turn. BrownJob must be forced to act now, not in 3 years' time. The country can't wait and neither can I!

Votedave

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Messages: 925
Registration date: 30/09/2006
Added: 30/10/2007 17:26
Quote:
BrownJob must be forced to act now, not in 3 years' time.


The PM can always be interrogated at PMQs or be urged to listen to what the Opposition are proposing.
Whether he'll listen whilst sitting on a 60-odd majority in the House of Commons is another matter I'm afraid.

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 30/10/2007 20:12
To successfully interrogate the PM you need to know the answers yourself!!!

Frank Field seems to know more than all the ministers put together - why doesn't the Tory Party?

Votedave

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Messages: 925
Registration date: 30/09/2006
Added: 30/10/2007 20:20
Yorker, have you got a figure in mind? 200,000? 1 million? 750,000?

Perhaps Liam Byrne can tell us if he has an idea to back up his absurd and short-sighted accusation.

tonymakara

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Messages: 1393
Registration date: 28/06/2007
Added: 30/10/2007 20:54
Lukus, a big factor in family breakdown in my opinion rests on the changing roles of men and women. At one time women 'Had to have a fella' to support them but now they can get the state to do it. Men know that too and have no conscience about leaving the woman and kids knowing they will be looked after by the state. Thats why I think its such a shame that the CSA didn't work properly because it was a good idea to make absent fathers pay up.

Yorker, I can't agree with you on Frank Field. I really don't like the man. He said the poor should be put in workhouses. He tries to cultivate an image for himself as a hardman when it comes to welfare and comes out with some very nasty statements.

lukas

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Messages: 46
Registration date: 30/06/2007
Added: 30/10/2007 21:51
Tony, you are probably right about the changing roles of men and women leading to 'atomisation' as David puts it. However, I don't really see that there is a way to reverse that. I think David is implying in his speech there is some way to reverse it and is offering this as a method to 'fix' society.

As I see it you can try and offer incentives all you like to support traditional family units - but isn't it somewhat meaningless if people no longer want to live that way? You can't force people to live like that if they don't want to as that will just lead to resentment, stress and probably even greater breakdown.

Do you disagree?

This all seems somewhat irrelevant to me as to the issue of immigration - which is why I rather wish he hadn't included it as an aside in an otherwise sound speech. At least the idea that we can reverse 'atomisation' to benefit housing shortages. I'm not sure that's achievable. We should take 'atomisation' into account when calculating needed resources - but there is no point in being sidetracked into social engineering projects (we know those tend not to work from Labours many attempts to make people live how they think we should).

Last edited by: lukas on 30/10/2007 21:54
yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 30/10/2007 22:10
Any advance on 1.6 million?

So all the British taxpayers' money ploughed into job creation over the last decade has resulted in more than half those jobs going to foreigners. Brilliant. Basic housekeeping rules say that you first mop up the British unemployed before you start giving away jobs to outsiders.

yorker

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Messages: 3418
Registration date: 26/03/2007
Added: 31/10/2007 07:53
Note that DC suggests a cap on only non-EU immigration, which is a side issue. What's really causing grief is immigration from the EU. Here's a heaven-sent lever to force a re-negotiation of our relationship with the EU - which would have tremendous popular (and commonsensical) support - and he apparently hasn't the bottle to work it!

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